Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.296093 0.339079 0.385118 0.437975 0.496865 0.560336 0.633795
2026-01-18 0.232932 0.292520 0.361271 0.445955 0.546915 0.662864 0.805498
2026-01-25 0.184347 0.252820 0.337558 0.448897 0.589954 0.761233 0.983278
2026-02-01 0.147851 0.220679 0.316994 0.451347 0.631203 0.860677 1.172109
2026-02-08 0.119997 0.194306 0.298973 0.453324 0.670590 0.960352 1.369801
2026-02-15 0.097028 0.170156 0.279621 0.449771 0.700713 1.049226 1.559941
2026-02-22 0.082253 0.155324 0.270969 0.459433 0.749086 1.165809 1.795900
2026-03-01 0.067708 0.137840 0.255212 0.455616 0.776190 1.253244 1.996253
2026-03-08 0.057225 0.125128 0.244890 0.458361 0.812486 1.355698 2.224329
2026-03-15 0.047164 0.111010 0.229785 0.450813 0.830875 1.431381 2.416377
2026-03-22 0.042168 0.105701 0.229339 0.467806 0.890121 1.573632 2.718006
2026-03-29 0.037959 0.101116 0.229421 0.485384 0.951312 1.722342 3.037747
2026-04-05 0.032688 0.093167 0.221981 0.488541 0.988271 1.834988 3.308461
2026-04-12 0.028014 0.085513 0.213912 0.489392 1.020914 1.942292 3.576524
2026-04-19 0.023855 0.078090 0.205108 0.487577 1.048186 2.041803 3.836886
2026-04-26 0.020434 0.071693 0.197468 0.487034 1.077429 2.146071 4.110395
2026-05-03 0.017572 0.066056 0.190600 0.487127 1.107562 2.253279 4.394038
2026-05-10 0.014866 0.060088 0.181903 0.482080 1.126827 2.341627 4.648873
2026-05-17 0.013252 0.057039 0.179879 0.491506 1.175690 2.486512 5.009980
2026-05-24 0.011257 0.052115 0.172185 0.486946 1.195178 2.577494 5.278607
2026-05-31 0.009821 0.048660 0.167783 0.489519 1.229624 2.698328 5.606601
2026-06-07 0.008233 0.044073 0.159393 0.481330 1.240091 2.773321 5.853403
2026-06-14 0.007626 0.043146 0.161376 0.499154 1.308753 2.965238 6.325943